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The European Union's Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) seeks to achieve, for all European seas 'Good Environmental Status' (GEnS, Borjia et al., 2011) by 2020; on the other hand ecological models are currently one of the strongest approaches used to predicting and understanding the consequences of anthropogenic and climate-driven changes in the natural environment. This presentation will highlight the results of a review conducted under an FP7 project called DEVOTES showing 1. current capabilities of the modelling community to inform on indicators outlined in the Marine Strategy Framework Directive (MSFD), with a special focus on the following three descriptors: biodiversity (D1), food webs (D4), non-indigenous species (D2) and seafloor integrity (D6); 2. which models are able to demonstrate the linkages between indicators and ecosystem structure/function and the impact of pressures on state and thus indicators; 3. gaps in model capability and needs for development. In addition, in order to facilitate the implementation of management policies like the MSFD and explore future plausible scenarios, some preliminary results will be presented on spatial and temporal evolution of the Mediterranean marine ecosystem from 1950 to 2010 and structural and functional changes of the basin using specific model derived indicators.

modelling, Good environmental status, GES, FP7, DEVOTES, MSFD, biodiversity, food webs, non-indigenous species, seafloor integrity, D1, D2, D4, D6, models,

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20/01/2016

Workshop of the Network of Experts for ReDeveloping Models of the European Marine Environment

DE

EN

201604262200

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