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Hydrological and marine models can be useful for several MSFD related purposes and Blue Growth action plans, such as to determine baseline conditions in the past and to estimate the impact of pressures and the suitability of measures in the future (scenario analysis), to complement scarce datasets and inform on prioritization of sampling activities. The modelling toolbox proposes end-to-end modelling, which tries to represent the entire system by including all relevant processes in the system, from hydrology and physics to chemistry, and plankton to fish. The suite of models considered represent a comprehensive toolbox, addressing the complex impact of drivers and assessing ecosystem responses necessary to address the requirements of descriptors in the MSFD and be useful for impact analyses of Blue Growth strategies. Such numerical models can simulate and predict changes in the state of the marine environment and ecosystems in response to different drivers and scenarios, and should ultimately be accessible to provide explicit support to the decision-making process.

modelling, modeling, marine models, data, hydrology, hydrological, hydronomical, biogeochemical, toolbox, Blue Growth, numerical models

Report

01/01/2015

European Commission Joint Research Centre

DE

FR

201603214045

Download: 500.0 Ko